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Because the world really needed another blog dedicated to the Portland Trail Blazers. We're a group of journalists and fans who've grown up with--or have grown to love--Oregon's only professional franchise (and this won't change when MLS comes to town). Plus we're convinced that--if given the chance--we could totally hit the Toyota halfcourt shot. Until then, we're stuck here in the Portland Roundball Society.
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Monday
Jan252010

The Pick and Scroll (or Whatever)

Your daily (Mon-Fri) roundup of links from around the blogosphere, typically Trail Blazers related.

• If you only read one NBA article today, make it this one by Jason Quick regarding Andre Miller. Blazer fans are lucky to have a journalist with both Quick’s level of access and skill.

• If you read two NBA articles today, why not try our Blazers vs. Hornets preview?

• Mike Barrett advises the doubters to get some perspective.

• Rip City Project asks both Pendergraph and McMillian if Pednergraph is an "enforcer." I’m disappointed that there has not been a deeper investigation into the whole “Snake” thing.

• Casey Holdahl demonstrates the fascinating anatomy of a D-League call up

• If you don’t read Ryan J. Parker at http://www.basketballgeek.com/ you really should. Follow him on twitter as well.

• Kevin Pelton gives us his All Star Reserves. Roy is “a no brainer.” But if chosen, Beyond the Beat wonders if Roy, with his hammy issues, should even play.

• Once again Greg Oden demonstrates his inability to not be photographed doing embarrassing things at parties. Stay classy, Oden.

• Dirk's 20K points would have been worth more in Europe. Via The Onion.

Sunday
Jan242010

Blazers vs. Hornets - Preview

Without question, the Hornets are the most exciting sports team in the entire city of New Orleans [please fact check this before publishing], despite occupying the cellar of the Southwest Division. But if the Hornets were in the Eastern Conference, they'd be a fifth seed in the playoff hunt. (This handy stat illustrates how competitive the Southwest Division can be, and how my little sister's rec league team could make the playoffs out East.)

It seems as if the Hornets are the NBA equivalent of a McMansion purchased with a toxic subprime loan fished out of Countrywide Financial's dumpster. The team seemed like a great idea in 2007-08, when their expensive roster narrowly missed an appearance in the Western Conference Finals before falling to the Spurs. But now the Hornets are getting close to a NBA foreclosure, and no one is going to bail this team out. During this past offseason New Orleans had to trim some payroll fat in order to limbo under the $69.9 million luxury tax line, but the team is still not there. While they might never swap Chris Paul for Steve Blake and a bag of game-used towels (reason #9862415 why I am not a NBA GM), the team does have all-star forward David West permanently on the trading block and will most likely make some sort of move before the deadline.

Meanwhile the Blazers have had more luck in New Orleans than a frat boy with a fistful of beads at Mardi Gras (classy!), as Chris Paul has suffered various untimely injuries in Portland's previous two victories on the Hornets' home court. At the Rose Garden, it's been even better—Portland was won six of the past seven meetings between these two teams at home. Paul took an elbow to the eye during Friday's victory over Minnesota—he might be forced to wear Slick Rick's jeweled eye patch (not confirmed)—but he will play. West is day-to-day with a sprained left ankle and will be a game time decision, as is Jerryd Bayless for Portland.

But that is not the biggest news on the injury front: Nicolas Batum is back. 45 games into the season the former starter and defensive linchpin is ready to play his first minutes. Although he's officially a game time call for Coach McMillan, Batum is convinced that he is ready. Considering how this season has gone for Portland, it's a strange sensation to hear about players getting healthy, instead of just leaving for extended periods of time. Welcome back, Frenchman.

Tip-off: 7pm
TV: CSN 37
Sunday
Jan242010

A Discussion on LaMarcus Aldridge

This week I had the opportunity to talk with fellow BlazersEdge alumni Sophia Brugato (@Sophiabiabiaof BustaBucket and Women Undefined about all things LaMarcus Aldridge. For the Blazers, Aldridge has been somewhat of a polarizing figure and I wanted to get her opinion on the matter. She starts as the interviewer and then we switch places halfway through.

SOPHIA BRUGATO: LaMarcus Aldridge is often referred to as “soft," by fans and media alike. Do you agree with this assessment? 

NATHAN BEGLEY: Well, Aldridge does have a finesse game. He shoots the midrange jump shot very well. While that shot is not the most efficient shot in the NBA, it’s one that Aldridge can get with regularity. I like to think the Roy/Aldridge pick and pop as a “left jab” that works the opponent by forcing Aldridge’s defender to stay with him, while allowing Roy a clearer path to the rim. I do wish the Aldridge would roll to the basket a bit more since he is a good finisher and hits free throws well. I think his ability to handle the ball held him back a bit from being able to drive the lane and get to the rim, or the free-throw line, à la Chris Bosh.

An area where I think Aldridge does not get enough credit for is rebounding. He usually averages between just seven and eight boards a game, but Portland routinely out-rebounds their opponent when he is on the floor, as opposed to when he was not. Because of Aldridge’s jumper, opposing power forwards get drawn out of the paint, leaving Oden or Przybilla (theoretically) with single coverage on the boards. With the exceptions of Dwight Howard or Yao Ming, I expect Oden and Przybilla to dominate the boards if they only have to worry about boxing out one guy. Aldridge tips a lot of rebounds to the guards and does not get credited with a board on those plays, plus he has been an excellent offensive rebounder, which I believe is a result of beating his man from the perimeter after the shot goes up. Now, as a caveat, Aldridge’s on/off rebound numbers could be influenced by the fact that he was backed up by Travis Outlaw, who is not a strong rebounder. However, I believe that this is offset by the fact that Aldridge played the five in small ball lineups. I think that Aldridge’s skills off the glass in recent games show that his rebounding average is more a product of his role than his natural ability.

SB: What are Aldridge’s most important strengths? That is, what does he do well that is most important to the team overall? 

NB: I think that Aldridge’s ability to do a bit of everything is the most important contribution to the team. He is the Swiss Army knife of the team. He can get his own shot, he can play in the post or on the perimeter, he rebounds, he runs the floor, he passes, he stretches the court by allowing Roy and Oden more room inside, he doesn’t turn the ball over much, he doesn't foul often, he can block shots a bit, he tips passes, he can switch onto a PG and force them into a contested jumper and then defend in the post. Last year, he held his counterpart to about a league average PER of 15.5 while putting up a PER of 21.6 (according to 82games.com). Now, of course, defense is not just individual, but Aldridge wasn’t getting killed out there either.

SB: Do you feel Aldridge has the potential to be that 20/10 guy every night for the Blazers? Do you think he could become that type of player on another team or within another system? 

NB: For the Blazers? No. For another team where he was the star? Yes. At the Blazers slow pace, Roy focused offense, and Oden dominated boards, I doubt Aldridge will average more than 18/8. However, put him on the Phoenix Suns replacing Amare’ and I think he’d average 22/10-ish. I think that if Aldridge wants to be an all-star, the answer is simply “get to the line.” If Aldridge got to the line for three more attempts a game, he’d be drawing at about the same rate as Pau Gasol and that would probably bump his scoring average up to over 20 per game.

SB: Aldridge is averaging well below what he did last year in a couple different categories, do you feel that is because he just gets a slow start to the season, or have the shifting lineups/rotations had an impact on his game?

NB: Well, there is a reason I haven’t used this year’s statistics very much in evaluating Aldridge. Take a look at this table from Basketball Reference:

His True Shooting Percentage and effective Field Goal Percentages are as high as they’ve ever been, as well as his defensive and total rebounding percentages. He’s blocking a lot fewer shots, but Aldridge's offensive rating has never been higher and his defense has never been better. He’s also passing better. While it’s true that Aldridge seems to start slow and then end the season on fire, Portland has asked him to change roles quite a bit. The Blazers first had him playing farther out on the perimeter and less in the post to make room for Oden, then he went down Portland asked Aldridge to play in the post a bit more. When Przybilla went down the Blazers asked him to be the lone force in the middle at both ends. Aldridge has done very well for what he has been asked to do. One reason I believe that his blocks are so low is because he absolutely cannot afford to get into foul trouble. As I said before, Aldridge does not foul much, which is important because he’s out only player over 6’9” that is not in a knee brace. I expect Aldridge, barring a trade for a big man, to reach a career high in rebounds this year and finish with a PER of over 19.

SB:You stated that Aldridge is like a Super Boris Diaw, can you expound upon that? 

NB: He’s that same sort of “do it all” stretch four, but Aldridge is taller, better, and with less attitude problems. When Aldridge disappears in a game, it’s because the team quit going to him, not because he’s inconsistent. Another example is that Aldridge may be a better rebounding, worse three point shooting (and paid), Rashard Lewis in the Nate MacMillian offense. 

NB: If you could improve one thing in Aldridge’s game (like a slider in NBA 2K10 or something) what would it be?            

SB: I want Aldridge to be a sniper three-point shooter. So far this season he has attempted three-point shots seven times (not including half court heaves) and has made five. Overall he is a career 22% three-point shooter but if LaMarcus developed this shot I think it could fit into McMillan’s system. He already draws opposing defenders out with the high pick and pop, if Aldridge becomes reliable behind the three he could further open up the lane for someone like Brandon Roy, Jerryd Bayless or Andre Miller. If he was a legitimate threat from the arc, defenders would have to stay on him. With a team of healthy players, this could potentially work.

NB: Do you think Aldridge is going to be worth the contract he signed?

SB: $10,477,000—that is roughly what Aldridge will be paid next season. He signed for $65 million, with a reported $5 million in incentives over a five year period. Considering the current economic climate and financial plight of several NBA organizations this year, the amount is staggering for a player who didn’t make the All Star team and averaged less than 20 points per game last season; a year which led to a disappointing first round playoff exit. Had the Blazers waited until 2010 to sign Aldridge, they could have potentially retained him for millions less. 

Despite all this, I do not think Aldridge was overpaid. According to several sources, Aldridge’s contract was based on his age, production, and projected contributions. In the end I feel the contract was fair for all parties involved.  

NB: Is Aldridge sacrificing his own stats for the good of the team? 

The absurd amount of injuries aside, the optimist in me thinks Aldridge is always trying to make the best out of every possession. There could be some sense that Aldridge is sacrificing in order to get more wins for the team, but I don’t think that is the case.  This reason some of his stats are taking a hit is in part because of his shifting roles and increased responsibilities. I don’t think he is purposely shooting less or trying to "Z-Bo" (read: pad) his stat line, as he doesn't strike me as either careless, or malicious. There are many parts of Aldridge’s game that could be criticized this season, however, he has consistently displayed a tireless work ethic and faithful commitment to the team.

NB: Can you name another (non-all-star) young power forward that you would rather have than Aldridge?

SB: No.

NB: Dave Berri thinks that the gap between Tyrus Thomas and Aldridge isn’t very large. Do you think Berri is totally delusional, or just on good drugs? [Warning: We'll be discussing this later on PRS.]

SB: I have always been under the impression that good drugs and delusions often go hand-in-hand. I won’t get into too much detail because you are going to take care of this yourself, but I will point out that Aldridge has averaged 15.5 points per game over his career, compared to Thomas' 7.8. Aldridge has over 1800+ rebounds and averages seven per game; Thomas has 1200+, averaging 5.1 per game. Furthermore, Aldridge has played many more minutes and has a higher PER. 

Berri contends that based on Wins Produced on a per-minute basis Thomas has done more, thus is not so far behind Aldridge and has not been such a bad deal for Chicago. To that I say “whatever,” I would take Aldridge over Thomas every time. 

We hope you enjoyed looking in on our conversation. Please let us know what you thought about it in the comments below, who knows, we may do it again.

Saturday
Jan232010

The Night Jeff Pendergraph Became Snake, Portland Topples Detroit 97-93

Dear Mike Barrett and Mike Rice. Please stop calling Jeff Pendergraph "snake." We get it, he owns snakes, but when you call him that I think of Kurt Russell in an eye patch, or Snake from the Simpsons. That is all. You can go back to being outraged by calls against the Blazers now.

Running on fumes and with an empty bench of rolling tumbleweeds, the Blazers limped into Detroit on the tail end of a rough four game road swing. But if the newly Bayless-less (Baylessless?) Blazers were winded from the disappointing overtime loss in Boston, they didn't show it. Well, to be fair, they didn't show it until the third quarter. In the first half the Blazers looked primed to roll over a listless Pistons lineup. Dual point guards Andre Miller and Steve Blake entered halftime with a combined 17 assists and zero turnovers. The Blazers hit the break with a 14 point lead, which was their largest advantage at the half of any road game this season.

What could go wrong? Everything.

First, it was the points. The Pistons stormed out of the gate in the third and eliminated Portland's lead in nine quick minutes. Then came the fists. Blake and Charlie Villanueva had a barking session, and a few plays later Villanueva lazily wrapped up Rudy Fernandez and introduced him to the hardwood. Players were pushed, benches nearly emptied, and Juwan Howard and Villanueva split technicals fouls, while Villanueva picked up a flagrant one as well. After that, the Pistons let loose into Rudy's injured back like a fighter exposing his opponent's glass jaw. Of course, Rudy utilized the European vertical tumble (read: flop), and picked up enough trips to the charity stripe—eight shots in 97 seconds—to push the Blazers back into the lead before the final quarter.

The two teams traded baskets, and the leads, in the fourth, although Portland's attempts were mostly distant jumpers, while Detroit had little difficulty getting to the rim. Miller drains a pair of free-throws at 24.6 left, and LaMarcus Aldridge (oftentimes a ghost in the final period) came up with an excellent tip on defensive which lead to a pair of foul shots from Martell Webster. A Pistons lead was quickly erased in a matter of seconds. Detroit had their chance to tie—multiple chances, actually—but they failed to convert as the clock expired.

Early in the game Webster got mighty familiar with the bottom of the net, unleashing a three point bombardment (six on the night), which slowed as the game progressed, yet he still finished with a career high of 28 points. Plus, for the second consecutive night, Webster came through in the clutch from the line. Both Miller and Blake had double digits in assists (13 and 10, respectively), and Blake had his first double-double of the year. It wasn't the prettiest of wins, but considering the dire physical state the team is in, Portland will take it.

Saturday
Jan232010

A Look At Giving

Friday night 10 NBA players pledged to give $1,000 towards Haitian charitable relief funds for each point they scored. It should be noted that all players who participated are clients of the Wasserman Media Group. With the box scores and salary data from Hoopshype.com before me, I crunched the numbers and came to a strange conclusion. Have a look:
Tyreke Evans
$3,610,080
Pay per game: $44,025
Points Scored Friday: 19
Donation: $19,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %43
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.5

Pau Gasol
$16,451,250
Pay per game: $200,625
Points Scored Friday: 20
Donation: $20,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %10
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.1

Derrick Rose
$5,184,480
Pay per game: $63,225
Points Scored Friday: 32
Donation: $32,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %50
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.6

Joe Johnson
$14,976,754
Pay per game: $182,643
Points Scored Friday: 19
Donation: $19,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %10.4
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.1

Antawn Jamison
$11,641,095
Pay per game: $141,964
Points Scored Friday: 8
Donation: $8,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %5.6
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.06

Danilo Gallinari
$3,089,040
Pay per game: $37,671
Points Scored Friday: 20
Donation: $20,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %53
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.6

Jordan Farmar
$1,947,240
Pay per game: $23,746
Points Scored Friday: 9
Donation: $9,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %37
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.4

Russell Westbrook
$3,755,640
Pay per game: $45,800
Points Scored Friday: 8
Donation: $8,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %17
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.2

Kendrick Perkins
$4,250,000
Pay per game: $51,829
Points Scored Friday: 4
Donation: $4,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %7
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.08

Spencer Hawes
$2,332,800
Pay per game: $28,448
Points Scored Friday: 8
Donation: $8,000
Donation as % of per-game salary: %28
Donation as % of annual salary: %0.3

Now, check this:

My $10 text message donation as % of last year's salary: %0.06

Which means, thanks to Antawn Jamison's ice cold, four of 14 shooting Friday night, I'm as charitable as an NBA player. It's sort of sad when taking into account I live a life almost completely removed from discretionary spending.
Friday
Jan222010

Preview: Blazers at Pistons


Time for an awkward talk with the Pistons' equipment manager.

The flight from Boston to Detroit takes about 90 minutes, so it's foreseaable that the Blazers will be able to get a decent amount of rest before the second night of a back-to-back.

They're going to need it.

Falling in an overtime heart-breaker to Boston Friday night, 98-95, several Blazers logged ridiculous minutes. Andre Miller played 47, as did LaMarcus Aldridge. Juwan Howard powered through 41, his most since 2007 (when he was STILL considered an aged vet).

Furthermore, the Blazers will need a little extra juice as they may well be without Jerryd Bayless, who sprained his ankle late in the first-half Friday at Boston. And of course, the Trail Blazers will miss Brandon Roy, who's back in Seattle getting a second opinion on his strained hamstring.

(And for all you conspiracy theorists, wondering why Roy went home, just stop--we can all agree on two things: 1.) there's no point in Roy huffing around with the team, traveling on back-to-backs when he needs rest. 2.) he's a bit of a prima donna in the Blazer world, and sending him back to his home-town of Seattle is almost like a mini-vacation, not a cause for concern.)

Luckily for the Roy-less (and perhaps Bayless-less) Blazers, Detroit played the night before as well. And they're terrible. Friday the Pistons were shellacked by listless Indiana Pacers, 105-93.

Indeed, the ups and downs of the Pistons under General Manager Joe Dumars is a case study in multiple identity theory. Has there ever been a GM so equally praised and condemned? He built a superstar-less team that won an improbable championship, yet drafted Darko. He signed Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva to laughably atrocious deals, yet has continually found talent deep in the draft. Dumars is like no other--at times brilliant, at others a drooling sloth.

Whatever the history books finally decide, in the immediate, this is an important game for Portland. Finishing two-and-two on an east coast swing without Brandon Roy has got to be seen as a success (even if that loss at Washington still brings up bile in my throat). One and three, on the other hand, is not what playoff teams do.

Tip-off: 4:30PM
TV: CSN 37

Friday
Jan222010

No Quit, Not Quite Enough. Blazers Fall to Celtics in OT, 98-95


After three-and-a-half quarters against the Celtics, Blazer fans could almost be excused for falling asleep or throwing in the towel. The game was following the predicted script to the letter. Kevin Garnett returned. The Celts, nursing a three-game losing streak, desperately need a win. The Blazers, without Roy, were grossly undermanned. And with just under five minutes left to play, Boston were up, 89-81.

But those who gave up hope and changed the channel missed one of the most vein-bursting rides of the season. Distressingly, it came up just short. The Blazers fell to the Celtics, in overtime, 98-95.

"Leaving Boston with a sour taste in my mouth," Tweeted Jeff Pendergraph after the game.

Still, it was wild, and reinforces the notion that no matter the opponent, or who's in uniform, The Blazers have a chance.

The no-longer-improbable run began with just under five minutes left in regulation. Andre Miller and Martell Webster led the Blazers on a near-heroic comeback to force overtime. Each showed steely nerves, scoring five points apiece as the regulation clock wound down.

Miller did it with an and-one layup, a jumper, and even some defense, drawing a charge on Paul Pierce that fouled out the Celtic star. It was, by far, Miller's best game of the season (and this comes in a run of fantastic performance--we may have written that same sentence Wednesday). Miller scored a season-high 28 points, along with eight boards and eight assists, while playing an grueling 47 minutes. In his postgame comments, Miller admitted, "I was so tired I just shot a three." It was his only lapse. Indeed, Miller just continues to get more comfortable in the Blazers' uniform, and all those calls for trades that earlier filled the air like tweeting birds seem to be disappearing into thin air.

Miller's over-time forcing cohort, Martell Webster hit a three and a deep two during the stretch. In his quest to keep the Blazers alive, the Webster finished with 19. It's one of the first times in as long as this writer can remember that Webster produced in the clutch. It's also reassuring to see how the small forward shook off a two-point first half (and an atrocious two point performance Wednesday in Philadelphia) to get things rolling again.

The Blazer defense too deserves it's own collective credit, limiting the Celtics to just two points in the final 4:43 of regulation.

The man of the hour, though, was the Celtics' Ray Allen, who shook off a horrible shooting night (three of 14) to nail a go-ahead three in overtime. The Blazers had their chances, but were unable to convert. LaMarcus Aldridge clanked a fall-away two from just behind the free-throw line, and Rudy Fernandez missed two three's with the clock ticking away. Fernandez's first was a fine shot, though the second, in the rush and scrum of the game's final seconds, came a bit early and off balance. He appeared to take a hit, but the whistle was not blow (call it a home-court no-call, or a European flop, your choice). In the end though, Fernandez's touch was off all night. He made just two of 11 attempts from the field.

Juwan Howard, on the other hand, played one of his most impressive games as a Blazer. Against the formidable Celtics front line of Garnett, Kendrick Perkins and "Big Baby" Davis, Howard pulled down a game-high 11 rebounds, and played 41 minutes, his most since 2007.

Jerryd Bayless had a fine first half, scoring 12 points, before leaving with an ankle sprain. Early reports seem as if the sprain is not particularly serious, but Bayless could be out a few games.

After all this salivating over what was an impressive comeback, and what could've been the best win of the Blazers short-handed season, this writer wonders when it's time to stop praising good effort in lieu of a win. Not yet--this game was full of grit and improbable play. But soon.

Notes:
- LaMarcus Aldridge finished with 19 points and 10 boards, but watching the Boston broadcast on league pass, Celtics commentators trashed him all game long, especially early. Check out these quotes:
"You can neutralize his offense by going at him."

"(Aldridge is) putting his hand up to make the coach think (he's) playing defense."

About Aldridge: "The guy isn't even trying to defend him."

- It was nice to see Rasheed Walace playing lazily, and languishing from his lounge at the three point line in a uniform not colored in black, silver, and scarlet. Yet, the Sheed reputation continues. And the Celtic commentators had to add their two cents on the lovable, sometimes laughable forward:

"He got fouled!" They didn't call it because he's Rasheed."
Friday
Jan222010

I Like "The Pick and Scroll"

  • Blazer Banter has the absolute latest on Roy’s injury, including breaking information that Roy is getting protien rich plasma injections and will be re-evaluated in seven days.
  • Do you love the draft? Do you dream of all the possibilities and upside of picks? If you don’t have Draft Express bookmarked, you soon will. Nobody outside NBA scouting teams follows college and international draft prospects better that Johnathan Givony and crew.
  • I guess Portland has to be made of something strong since, according to Brian T. Smith, tonight Portland players will have missed over 200 games due to injury.
  • *UPDATE* Ben from BlazersEdge with an excellent breakdown of late game execution in the win against Philadelphia.