I got an interesting note from the Blogfather this morning—a real head-scratcher. I think he felt the same way. But it’s been bouncing around in my brain for the better part of the day and I think it’s at least worth sharing. To wit:
A stat geek would tell you that players very seldom play years at one level, then break through and produce at a much higher level.
In other words, LaMarcus Aldridge would be in keeping with history if he spent most of his career not at this level, but more like he was.
I realize even suggesting just that is inflammatory, but it is what it is.
So, let’s just say that this is the best Aldridge will ever be, right now. You could, conceivably, take that as an argument to sell high.
In which case, what could you get? Maybe something like this.
I don’t know.
This is probably all crazy talk, and toxic to nice LaMarcus who is presently killing it. But if you are a true Moneyballer, his spurt of great play may be the kind of thing one can turn into a huge advantage.
Now, I’ve never been a big Kevin Love fan. I just can’t get passed the Jersey beard. And who knows if he’s really a winner or simply a guy piling up huge numbers on a bad team because there’s no one else helping.
But as Bill Simmons says, if the trade were propsed, “which team says no first?” Probably the Blazers, things being what they are. Also because the Wolves know that Love is likely to bolt from the frigid tundra just as soon as his contract allows.
I wouldn’t do it, as I don’t see why Aldridge can’t continue to produce at such a level, or perhaps continue growing.
But I see the logic.